Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000143 0.000159 0.000176 0.000196 0.000218 0.000242 0.000269
2025-10-05 0.000119 0.000141 0.000165 0.000195 0.000230 0.000271 0.000321
2025-10-12 0.000104 0.000129 0.000160 0.000199 0.000247 0.000306 0.000383
2025-10-19 0.000091 0.000118 0.000153 0.000199 0.000260 0.000336 0.000442
2025-10-26 0.000080 0.000109 0.000146 0.000199 0.000270 0.000365 0.000501
2025-11-02 0.000071 0.000101 0.000140 0.000197 0.000279 0.000391 0.000558
2025-11-09 0.000064 0.000094 0.000135 0.000197 0.000289 0.000419 0.000621
2025-11-16 0.000058 0.000087 0.000130 0.000195 0.000295 0.000443 0.000678
2025-11-23 0.000053 0.000082 0.000125 0.000195 0.000303 0.000469 0.000741
2025-11-30 0.000049 0.000078 0.000122 0.000195 0.000313 0.000497 0.000811
2025-12-07 0.000045 0.000073 0.000118 0.000193 0.000318 0.000519 0.000871
2025-12-14 0.000042 0.000071 0.000117 0.000196 0.000331 0.000555 0.000958
2025-12-21 0.000039 0.000068 0.000114 0.000197 0.000342 0.000589 0.001044
2025-12-28 0.000037 0.000064 0.000111 0.000196 0.000350 0.000617 0.001125
2026-01-04 0.000035 0.000063 0.000111 0.000200 0.000366 0.000661 0.001237
2026-01-11 0.000033 0.000060 0.000108 0.000201 0.000376 0.000695 0.001335
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000201 0.000384 0.000727 0.001430
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000055 0.000103 0.000199 0.000390 0.000755 0.001520
2026-02-01 0.000027 0.000053 0.000101 0.000199 0.000398 0.000788 0.001624
2026-02-08 0.000025 0.000050 0.000098 0.000197 0.000402 0.000813 0.001714
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000048 0.000096 0.000197 0.000409 0.000844 0.001818
2026-02-22 0.000022 0.000046 0.000094 0.000197 0.000418 0.000880 0.001937
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000044 0.000091 0.000195 0.000422 0.000905 0.002034